20. Did Bill Lancaster shoot Haden Clarke?
Question
Did Bill kill Haden?
Evidence
1. Bill put his arm around the shoulders of Haden’s mother, looked her in the eye, and told her that he didn’t shoot Haden. She believed him.
2. Bill said the same thing regarding Haden’s death in his interrogations and in his trial. The prosecution was unable to weaken his testimony or to expose him as telling a lie. It is extremely difficult for a person who isn’t a habitual liar to maintain that level of consistency.
3. Bill stated to the investigators and to the court that he told Haden at the end of their heart-to-heart talk that, in the morning, Haden would have to tell Chubbie that he lied to her or that Bill would do so himself. Bill later said that he was exhausted from his tiring flight and soon fell asleep, knowing with absolute certainty that Chubbie and Haden’s relationship was over. He knew Chubbie well enough to know that she wouldn’t forgive Haden for his lies, as he later told the court. And she didn’t, as she herself revealed to the court.
4. If this heart-to-heart talk actually happened, as seems likely (see Section 7), Bill had no reason to shoot Haden. He had every reason to wait and see what the morning would bring. While Bill could do stupid things, like stunting and terrifying his passengers or others on the ground, he was extremely calm under pressure. It was the only reason he was still alive. He wasn’t the type of person to snap and act irrationally.
5. Bill seemed like the type of person who would sacrifice himself as a gesture of nobility. He was willing to kill himself to give Chubbie the money to start her marriage.
6. Bill had also behaved in such a way in the past. In February 1928, when he and Chubbie were stranded in Singapore after the Red Rose crashed, they heard that Bert Hinkler was racing towards them. If Hinkler reached Australia before them, he would set the record and gain all the associated money and glory, shattering Bill’s and Chubbie’s dreams.
What did Bill do?
His friends wanted to sabotage Hinkler’s plane but Bill sat beside the plane all night armed with a gun in order to protect it. The result? Hinkler is now second on the list of well-known names in early Australian aviation history, beaten only by Charles Kingsford Smith. No one has heard of Bill Lancaster.
7. When Bill chose not to destroy his aviator rival, even though he knew that the consequences of Hinkler’s success would be personally devastating, he acted nobly. If Bill acted as nobly with Haden, it would explain Haden’s alleged final words of praise and contrition: ‘Bill, you are the whitest man I know.’
Thus, in the suicide note was Bill repeating Haden's own words to him?
Conclusion
The preponderance of evidence suggests that Bill did not kill Haden. Moreover, Bill showed no evidence of being the type of person who could commit murder, even when the result would be the loss of something that mattered to him.
Yet there is still the problem of the gunshot entrance wound being in the ‘wrong place’. But that could be explained by the fact that the ‘wrong’ place was an easier shot.
15 December 2018: See the updates to Section 10 regarding the location of the entrance wound.
Written 21 March 2017
5 comments
David Batchelor wrote on 3 June 2017:
A well reasoned analysis of the evidence. It changed my opinion, which had previously been based on reading online some of the historical newspaper articles. An excellent book on Chubbie.
Response:
I always keep an open mind, when I start researching a story, until I have conducted the research for myself. However, being human, I usually come to the task sitting more on one side of the fence than the other. When I started, I thought it more likely that Bill was guilty. However, like Ralph Barker (Verdict of a Lost Flyer) and Alain Brochard (see below) and others who have explored the evidence in depth, I reached the conclusion that Bill was highly likely to have been innocent. What a sad ending to his life.
Rob Vines wrote on 23 June 2017:
I enjoyed your story. I'm not a great fan of aviation stories normally although I have a pilot friend who more than makes up for it yet he's never mentioned Mrs Miller. A story worth filming.
Response:
Watch out for The Aviatrix.
Kerry Brown wrote on 25 September 2017
If Bill Lancaster had shot Haden he would have killed him, not bungled it so he was still alive. He had military training. That's my opinion after reading your excellent book.
Alain Brochard wrote on 8 January 2018
Carol thank you for all this analysis that completely reinforces me in what I thought about the innocence of Bill.
I have been working for 10 years on the life of W N LANCASTER (see the details of the blog).
Currently I am writing a paper on the American period of Bill and Chubbie and then writing everything related to the Miami trial.
Your blog brings me a lot, but I would be happy to communicate directly with you.
Thanks in advance
All the best
Alain
Diane Yorgason-Quinn wrote on 13 April 2020
Just finished your book. Excellent. I had read a lot about the Powder Puff Derby and other air races, but had never known about this affair! Why I think Bill was innocent was his diary as he was dying. If he had done the deed, I believe he would have attempted to clear the air as he lay dying.
Response:
I totally agree. I clearly forgot to add that piece of information, so see the footnote below.